Filed under: Forecasts, Deals, Competitive strategy, Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) has raised $10 billion to invest in existing LBO loans. According to the FT, the investment home plans to make money by “taking advantage of a gap in the financing markets created by the credit crisis.” In other words, Goldman believes that the problems in the lending market have driven leveraged buy-out loans below their logical values. Panic has created opportunity.
While the news might be good for banks that hold some of these loans and don’t want to write them off if they fail, Goldman is making a bet beyond the fact that LBO loans may be selling at a discount now. Goldman is essentially betting the economy will get superior in the fairly near-term.
For many of these loans to perform well, the economy has to avoid a deep recession. Even loans with reasonable credit ratings, debt in companies with strong prospects and earnings, could fail if the general business conditions deteriorate into a prolonged period of negative growth. Under such circumstances, Goldman could pick relatively safe debt and still get burned.
Someone at Goldman sees light at the end of the economic tunnel.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
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