Filed under: Deals, Private equity, Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wachovia Corp (WB), Lehman Br Holdings (LEH), Bear Stearns Cos (BSC)
With shares in Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) losing another 14% of their value Monday, and the stock trading under $13, rumors are swirling as to what the bank is planning to do. While there has been speculation that the bank may be taken private, an option that I think is very interesting, others have stated that another bank is going to swoop in and take over the company. At the discount levels the stock is trading, that might make sense. The only problem is who the buyer will be.
MarketWatch has an interesting article about this issue and the claim is that there really is no one out there to make a bid for the struggling investment bank. The article quotes Jeff Harte, a securities industry analyst at Sandler O’Neill & Partners, ” I’m hard pressed to give you many viable buyers of Lehman. Most large banks are focused on their own capital issues. Even if a bidder did come forward, it would have to win over a lot of Lehman employees — who control around 30% of the stock — or risk losing them once the deal was complete.”
The most obvious suitor would be JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM), but it has its hands full with Bear Stearns. Other banks like Citigroup (NYSE: C) or Wachovia (NYSE: WB) are fighting for survival. That leaves us with European banks, many of whom are also trying to stay afloat. One bank that has the money needed to finance a deal could be Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB). It could be interested in a deal as it would gain a foothold into the fixed-income desk at Lehman. The only problem is that the bank is focused on growing its retail banking franchise, not investment banking.
Which leaves us with the first option as the ideal one. Go private. Clean up the balance sheet, get profitable, wait a few years for the financial storm to pass, and go public once again.
Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer’s fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 7/15/08.
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