Archive for June 4th, 2008

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If you have read BusinessWeek’s latest story on the Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) saga, then you cannot really know what to believe!

According to the story, Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) remains highly interested in re-entering talks to acquire Yahoo!, and it also says those speaks might already be in progress.

Then it says Microsoft might want the whole company, but also might just be interested in the search element.

To this the magazine adds that if none of this works, Yahoo! might go ahead and work out a deal to give Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) a non-exclusive right to either sell its search results or include it in its auctions — or none of the above.p>

It concludes that sources think there is a 50% chance a deal will happen. Now that’s strong conviction! If a deal happens, they go on to state that the buyout price might be $33, $35, or $37 per share (it closed yesterday at $26.15) but that some compromise might be reached. Gee whiz, a 50/50 shot and projecting some sort of compromise.

Carl Icahn is rumored to be deeply involved in making something happen, but then again management is not interested in his input. “Something will definitely happen soon,” says one of the people involved in solving Yahoo’s conundrum.

This is all as clear as mud and any investment in Yahoo! is highly speculative unless you’re actually at the table, whatever table that may be.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I do not own shares in the stocks mentioned in this story.

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Before the bell: Stocks head for lower open, again

Well, with this latest deal, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) has all but confirmed what the next iPhone will be. Japanese mobile-phone operator Softbank Corp. said Wednesday that it reached an agreement with Apple to sell its iPhones by the end of the year. Japan has 103 million sophisticated mobile users, already paying up for high-tech phones. So far, speculation was that Apple will close a deal with NTT DoCoMo, but Softbanks it is. The phone will likely support 3G networks.

Merrill Lynch cut its price target to $27 from $28 for Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), saying Countrywide Financial’s cumulative losses are apt to rise to between $10 billion and $12 billion, causing writedowns for its buyer and being a massive EPS drag. It kept its Underperform rating for the stock.

While BofA paid $4 billion for Countrywide, Wachovia (NYSE: WB) paid $25 billion for Golden West Financial, which turned out to be a disastrous acquisition.

In deal news, Swiss drugmaker Novartis (NYSE: NVS) on Wednesday said it would pay as much as $400 million for Protez Pharmaceuticals, a closely held U.S. maker of antibiotics to fight hospital-acquired infections, the “superbug.” It has also outlined its pipeline of vaccines under development. Cowen & Co. upgraded Novartis from Neutral to Outperform.

Yahoo Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) on Tuesday set its annual shareholder meeting on for August 1. This will be an interesting one to state the least as management, directors and shareholder brace for a showdown with billionaire activist investor Carl Icahn, who is mounting a proxy fight for control of Yahoo and may seek to remove Jerry Yang as Yahoo CEO.

General Motors (NYSE: GM) said Tuesday its sales fell 28% in May compared to a year earlier, with a 37% decline in truck and SUV sales and a 14% drop in vehicle sales. Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F)’s sales fell 16% for the month, while Chrysler LLC’s sales were down 25% and Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM)’s sales slipped 4%. Overall sales were down 11% compared to last May, according to Autodata Corp.

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