Archive for May 2nd, 2008

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Google, News, and Making Money (by Jeremy Zawodny)

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When Yahoo, Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) featured a two-week test that saw it use competitor Google, Inc.’s (NASDAQ: GOOG) text advertising, the move was done with moxie. Yahoo! spent a lot of time and money developing its Project Panama text advertising system only to bring in Google’s market-leading system as an outsourced solution. What was the deal? Well, the deal was Yahoo!’s attempt at making a takeover by Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) as hard as possible.

That two-week test was finished a few weeks ago, and now rumors are surfacing that Yahoo! may enter into an agreement with Google to carry the search leader’s advertising once again. This partnership would make it harder for Microsoft to acquire Yahoo! (something that’s waiting in the wings), while providing Yahoo! with some decent cash flow. It seems nearly each partner of Google’s, insofar as text advertising, ends up doing quite well.

While Microsoft still has not said anything nearly a week after its proposed offer for Yahoo! expired, the end of this summer could see a major shift in the on the web advertising landscape. Either Microsoft will be successful in acquiring Yahoo! through a proxy fight or an upped-price offer, or Google and Yahoo! will have a partnership that would give Google even more power in the online advertising world — where it’s already the king of the hill by far. Break out the fake fingernails, ’cause you may be chewing on them if you’ve any holdings in any of the three companies

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The say of New York is set to start collecting tax from some on the web retailers who do business in the say. And by some online retailers, we mean the law is targeted pretty firmly at Amazon, and may also affect some others. Not surprisingly, Amazon is none to thrilled, and the New York Times reports that the company has responded with a lawsuit against the state of New York.

Now, here’s the interesting bit. Nobody’s disputing that New York residents are supposed to be paying say sales taxes for items purchased from out of say retailers and shipped to New York. Even before the law was passed, people living in New York and many other states were supposed to keep track of such buys on their own and send a check to the state. Of course, nobody actually does this, but it’s the law. No, the issue is whether Amazon should be required to collect taxes

Typically you only need to collect state taxes if you have an office or other presence in the say. For example, if Amazon had a New York warehouse or distribution center. And then you need to collect taxes on everything sold to say residents, whether it went through that office, warehouse, or distribution center or not. But the law claims that because New York residents can sign up to be Amazon “affiliates,” which means the post links to Amazon products on their web pages and make a commission, Amazon does maintain a presence in the say. Which sounds kind of weak if you ask us. But that’s the crux of the law, and it’s also the crux of the lawsuit.

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Hundreds of stories have been written over recent weeks about the plans of Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) to buy Yahoo! (NASDAQ:YHOO) and Yahoo!’s plan to out-source its search to Google (NASDAQ:GOOG). At the end of the day, the are all speculation backed by very tiny fact.

More “news” about the deals came out overnight. According to Bloomberg “Yahoo may concur to use Google’s Web advertising software within a week.” The Wall Street Journal writes that “Microsoft Corp. late Thursday was leaning toward going hostile in its pursuit of Yahoo Inc.”

All of this is great theater because both stories might be true and the entire situation could dissolve into a cauldron of competing companies, investment bankers, and corporate boards each competing for leadership in the internet search market.

Who is served? In this case, for once, the shareholders. Yahoo! could take a deal to have Google handle its search and search advertising features. Depending on which analysis Wall St. wants to believe, this should save the portal hundreds of millions of dollars a year, if the government will approve an alliance between the two largest search companies.

On the other hand, Microsoft may raise its bid in an attempt to tempt shareholders to take $33 or $34 for Yahoo!. The company’s shares traded around $20 before Redmond made its offer.

The media might have months of fun ahead of them A proxy fight could drag on and on as could a government decision about whether Yahoo! and Google can form a search venture.

At the very least, its sells newspapers.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com and the author of the Ten Stocks Under $10 newsletter.

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