Archive for April 17th, 2008

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Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) is changing its M&A habits. Instead of taking companies it buys and folding them into the parent, it will allow many to operate as independent divisions.

The Wall Street Journal reports, “We can’t purchase a company and tell it to do as we see fit if we don’t have a true understanding of the marketplace,” says Ned Hooper, Cisco’s head of business development, who is leading the new acquisition and integration strategy. In plain English that means the huge router company will not purchase companies, fire all of the managers, and suck it into the parent.

While having companies operate as the equivalent of stand-alone entities might make the executives of companies bought by Cisco feel superior and may grant Cisco to have “experts” in the new industries it enters, the new plan has potential dangers.

Part of Cisco’s success is the strength of its management ranks, lead by long-term CEO John Chambers. Allowing companies to stay on their own allows them to make mistakes on their own. Some of that may be fine, at least in terms of learning from errors, but huge mistakes make for massive losses.

Just because a company has done well does not mean it has been managed well. Often success is the by-product of finding good market niches and creating new products.

Nothing beats good top management. Cisco may be forgetting that.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Tech companies suffered in the big internet explosion in 2000. Part of the problem was that many of them did not have sufficient cash reserves to make it through the storm. They’re concerned that the 2008 recession will be deja vu all over again.

According to The Wall Street Journal, “As of late last month, the technology sector — which already had been heavy on cash in the past few years — held nearly $232 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up more than 6% from nearly $218 billion a year earlier, according to Standard & Poor’s.”

The move is mindless and totally unnecessary. Ebay (NASDAQ: EBAY) now has $3.6 billion and EMC (NYSE: EMC) has $4.5 billion according to the S&P numbers. The idea of building assets on the balance sheet makes no sense because both companies make money and have forecast to make money for the rest of the year. EMC had operating income of over $1.7 billion last year.

Wall Street does not like to see “unused” cash sitting around making 2.5% interest. Companies that don’t have announced M&A programs, massive share buy-backs, or special dividends are going to be punished for balance sheets that are too good.

And they should be.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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The deal for Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) to allow Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) to sell text ads on the portal’s search pages might happen more swiftly than most analysts believed. According to The Wall Street Journal, “Yahoo Inc. moved closer to outsourcing its search advertising to Google Inc. after an initial test of the system yielded what the two firms deemed positive results.”

The partnership could add several hundred million dollars of revenue to Yahoo!’s annual numbers. Most observers believe that regulators would be troubled by the two largest search companies joining forces.

The news still begs that question of whether any deal can be better than Microsoft’s (NASDAQ: MSFT) offer to buy Yahoo! for over $29 a share. The first offer was at $31, but Microsoft’s shares, part of the payment, have declined since then.

Yahoo!’s actions to run away from Microsoft seem to go along the lines of trying to stay independent for the sake of being independent. In other words, the company has no answer to the question of why investors are better off if Yahoo! stands alone.

Since no one other than Microsoft wants to purchase the portal, the answer is that Yahoo! has lost all options to defend its present strategy. A deal with Google does not, in any way Yahoo! can explain, make the company worth $30 a share.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Futures eased slightly this morning as the market sought to catch its breath after sprinting higher Wednesday. All indices had strong gains after better-than-expected first-quarter earnings reports from JPMorgan Chase, Coca-Cola Co., and Intel Corp. The Dow industrials completed up 257 points, or 2.08%, the S&P 500 rose 30 points or 2.27% and the Nasdaq Composite closed up 64 points or 2.8%.

IBM (NYSE: IBM) reported very strong Q1 figures after the close Wednesday. The company had income from continuing operations of $2.3 billion, or $1.65 a share, up from $1.8 billion, or $1.21 a share, a year ago. IBM was aided by the weakness of the U.S. dollar, with some 65% of revenue coming from overseas. eBay also had a good quarter, with profit climbing 22%.

However, there was a disappointing earnings report from Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) this morning. The company lost $1.96 billion, or $2.19 a share, compared with net income of $2.16 billion, or $2.26 a share, a year ago, after billions of dollars of writedowns related to the subprime crisis. Merrill plans to cut about 4,000 jobs, or 10% of its workforce. Nokia (NYSE: NOK)’s quarterly income rose 25% to 1.22 billion euros, up from 979 million euros a year earlier, but missing analysts expectations of 1.38 billion euros, according to Bloomberg News. Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) also missed analysts’ estimates for the quarter, with profit falling 18%.

The U.S. dollar hit another all-time low against the euro, while oil prices hit an all-time high of more than $115 a barrel. According to the U.S. Energy Department, inventories of gasoline fell 5.5 million barrels last week. Related to the ongoing increase in oil prices, Continental Airlines reported a loss for the first quarter, while Southwest Airlines earnings declined. However, American Airlines yesterday posted a smaller-than-expected loss.

In the news this day, Yahoo! moves closer to deal with Google on outsourcing search advertising, according to the Wall Street Journal. Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) is expected to release earnings this afternoon.

In economic data, unemployment claims for the week ending April 5 will be released at 8:30 a.m. EST; the Philadelphia Fed report will be out at 10:00 a.m.

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JP Morgan (NYSE:JPM) might be raising cash it does not need to prepare its balance sheet for more losses. The bank reported a $2.37 billion profit. That was down by half from a year ago, but was still an impressive number. The firm did set aside $4.4 billion for loan losses and took about $2.6 billion of write-downs tied to mortgages.

According to Reuters JPM “results calmed investors, who had hoped the bank would deal with the credit crisis superior than some others.”

So, why raise the capital? The answer might be in news that Wilbur Ross, billionaire specialist in Chapter 11 investing, is putting together cash from sovereign funds to invest in weak US financial stocks. According to Bloomberg “Ross will talk with Gulf investors in Abu Dhabi next week about 100 to 200 so-called thrift banks.”

Now that JP Morgan has acquired Bear Stearns (NYSE:BSC), it is nearly a sure bet that JPM CEO James Dimon will go looking for other bargains. He learned the practice under former boss Sandy Weill and his company is the product of a big merger with Bank One.

JP Morgan’s likely desire to purchase smaller financial firms may be a sign that stocks in banks and brokerages are bottoming. Dimon wants a piece of that. Why should Ross have all the fun?

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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