Archive for April 8th, 2008

Filed under: , , , ,

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has issued an ultimatum to Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO)’s board of directors and senior management that they have until April 26 to approve Microsoft’s $41+ billion price tag or Microsoft will take it to the shareholders directly. This would amount to an unmitigated disaster. Tell me the last time a nasty takeover went well in the technology world. You can’t because these things don’t happen or work. I’d superior explain.

In the world of takeovers, the sweetest scenario is to have the acquired happily march the employees right into the new firm. With industrial takeovers, the acquiring company is buying the physical assets and any intellectual property that exists within the acquired firm. With those assets and intellectual property comes an even more valuable list — the customer list and relationships. In the tech world, however, a takeover operates quite differently.

The technology world fosters an environment of independence and delicate egos abound. Key personnel from Yahoo! are not going to sit idly by while Microsoft tenders directly to the shareholders in an aggressive fashion. These key people will have retained recruiters, if they haven’t already, and will be on to the next opportunities. By the way, Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) is hiring!

Technology is an intellectual property- and marketing-dominated business. If Microsoft were to be successful with Yahoo! shareholders, I would venture to state that at least 60-70% of the “key employees” will be long gone or soon to depart after immediately exercising vested stock options. The cultural chasms between Seattle and Sunnyvale just doesn’t cut it.

Yahoo! knows that Microsoft is desperate to effectively compete versus Google. In the tech world the old adage holds true — if you can’t build it, you must buy it. Microsoft has shown it’s not capable of competing with Google straight up. With an enthusiastic Yahoo! group in the door, it stands a fighting chance. With a fractured Yahoo! group half-way in the door, half-way out, Microsoft will spend the first 18 months after the close trying to figure out who is staying and who is leaving; who needs to be placated and who needs to be sent packing. All the while, Google will distance itself even further away from the pack.

Nasty proxy fights might win out in the industrial world, but in tech land — no way.

Georges Yared writes about great growth stocks in Game On Investing.

Comments No Comments »

Filed under: , ,

Fellow BloggingStocks contributor, Aaron Katsman, and I were discussing the pros and cons of investing in high-yield bonds this morning. You know, those types of risky bonds that pay a pretty good yield in return for investors lending a risky company their hard-earned cash. Inevitably, Washington Mutual’s name came up.

Is it worth the risk of default to get some juicy yield?

Dunno, but just as we were discussing the troubled lender, some news rolled out over the wires.

Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM), the largest savings and loan in the U.S., announced it’s taking an investment totaling $7 billion from an investor group led by private equity firm, TPG, or Texas Pacific Group.

Well, that helps provide some stability. At least for a while.

The company also gave some indication regarding first quarter earnings and the numbers are troubling. According to the same Reuters piece, the company stated it anticipates to report a first-quarter loss of $1.1 billion, or $1.40 per share.

In order to provide some help for loans losses, WaMu expects to set aside $3.5 billion in the quarter, saying loans it doesn’t expect to be paid back should total something like $1.4 billion.

It’s hard to tell how the market looks at this deal. The stock’s down over 6% in early trading. There was growing concern that WaMu was going to be the first U.S. banking casualty, so this infusion must alleviate investors’ concerns somewhat. On the other hand, the rumors surrounding an investment mentioned $5 billion and the fact that the investment came in at $7 billion is somewhat troubling. Have things deteriorated so much in such a short time?

This blogger is watching curiously from the sidelines.

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

Comments No Comments »

Comments No Comments »

Close
E-mail It