Archive for March 3rd, 2008

Filed under: , , , ,

Merck (NYSE: MRK) logoFor over three years Merck and Co. (NYSE: MRK) has been distracted by its pain medication Vioxx. The company voluntarily withdrew the drug from the market in the fall of 2004 following its own study that showed potential higher risk of heart attack. Law suits ensued. This morning, it has been reported that 44,000 plaintiffs have submitted paperwork to accept the $4.85 billion settlement agreement and it is believed that Merck will reach the self imposed 85% threshold to go forward with the deal.

If this comes to pass, Merck, which has been defending itself case by case with mixed results, will be able to take a giant step forward in terms of putting this dubious part of its history behind it. Merck has won more cases than it has lost, but until this is settled, the unknown leaves doubts in some investors’ minds and naturally some drag on the stock.

When Vioxx was originally pulled off the market, the stock immediately tanked and sensationalist analysts envisioned losses as high as $50 billion. At the time, I did my own analysis and this settlement turns out to be very close to my own guesstimate. Trusting my own analysis, I began recommending the stock on this site and to family members, and bought into Merck in several portfolios.

The stock closd at $44.30 on Friday. This is about an average gain of 55% since Merck pulled Vioxx off the shelves. MRK’s 52-week high / low is $61.62 / $42.32. If you recall, a while back I wondered whether I should keep my Merck. Well, I did, and I’ll continue to hold the stock.

The drug maker is currently paying a 3.43% dividend yield and has always had good profit margins and strong ROE, ROA and ROIC results. It has been ranked among the ideal managed companies since anyone cared to track this element of corporate America. Near its 52-week low, in a year where the winners might be the ones that lose the least, the yield alone makes Merck worth consideration.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I own shares of MRK.

Comments No Comments »

Filed under: , , , ,

Maker of Otis elevators and Chubb security systems, United Technologies Corp. (NYSE: UTX), announced Sunday that it had made an unsolicited $2.63 billion offer for Diebold Inc. (NYSE: DBD). Diebold is one of the largest makers of automated teller machines and voting machines, and United Tech’s move comes as a part of its plan to extend its security business and presence in China.

United Technologies announced it first approached Diebold about a possible deal two years ago but nothing had materialized thus far. United Tech announced that its current bid amounts to $40 a share, a 66% premium to Diebold’s closing price of $24.12 on Friday. The company also stated a it might increase its offer if it is sees more detailed information.

George David, United Technologies’ chairman and chief executive, stated that the “transaction creates significant and immediate value for Diebold shareholders with no operational risk, while creating long term value for UTC shareholders.”

After reporting 13% profit growth in 2007, United Technologies now sees Diebold as a good opportunity to expand its electronic security business. A huge part of the company’s revenue came from China where United Technologies benefits from strong productivity and more efficient sales.

Diebold announced last month it would slash 800 jobs to reduce costs in North America and Brazil. Its decision came after the company revealed a plan last year aiming to save $100 million. Diebold would also review manufacturing and storage facilities in North and South America as it has to face a sharp decline in revenue.

Shares of UTX are down $1.70, or 2.4%, to $68.81 in early trading. To ease investors’ worries, the company reaffirmed its 2008 expectations. The company, which is offering $40 per share for Diebold, still anticipates 2008 earnings in the range of $4.65 and $4.85 per share, below analysts’ predictions for a profit of $4.86 per share.

Eliza Popescu is a financial writer for the on the web investment advisory service Investor’s Observer.

Comments No Comments »

Filed under: , , , , , , , ,

Stock futures were lower this morning, indicating Wall Street could begin March with a down day as investors’ concerns about the economy continued. Adding to the sentiment is the U.S. dollar, which now stands at its worst level against a basket of currencies since 1973. Also, some manufacturing data will be in focus this day.

On Friday, U.S. stocks plunged on economic concerns, the credit crisis and consequently the health of the financial sector following American International Group (NYSE: AIG)’s reported big loss. The Dow industrials lost 315 points Friday, or 2.51%, the S&P 500 dropped 37 points, or 2.71%, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 60 points, or 2.58%.

At 10:00 a.m. EST this morning, after the market opens, the Institute of Supply Management will release the ISM index for February, giving investors an idea of manufacturing activity throughout the nation. Economists anticipate the index to drop to 49, below 50, indicating contraction.

At the same time, the Commerce Department will report on January construction spending, which is also expected to show a decline.

Due to the subprime situation and expectations banks will report even more losses, the dollar declined to a three-year low against the yen, falling for a fifth day. The U.S. currency tumbled 2.3% against the euro in February alone. Also, the U.S. Dollar Index traded on ICE Futures in New York slid to 73.44, the lowest since the gauge started in 1973, ahead of the ISM index data.

As a result of a consistently weakening dollar, oil prices hit record level last week, but steadied Monday near $102 a barrel.

Overseas, Asian markets tumbled with Japan’s Nikkei closing Monday’s session 4.5% lower. European stocks are down more than 1.5% at this time.

Some stocks that will likely be in focus today include Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) and Boeing (NYSE: BA). While the latter surprisingly lost a major contract with the USAF, Northrop and EADS won it. The contract could be worth up to $40 billion. NOC shares were up over 3.3% in premarket trading, while BA shares declined over 4.5% in premarket trading.

United Technologies Corp. (NYSE: UTX) said Sunday it has made an unsolicited offer to buy Diebold Inc. (NYSE: DBD) for $2.63 billion after failing to negotiate a deal for two years. The offer represents $40 per share, a 66% premium over Diebold’s closing stock price Friday of $24.12. DBD shares are up over 62% in premarket trading.

Other big news stories this morning:
- HSBC (NYSE: HBC) profit rises despite subprime hit.
- Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A)’s quarterly earnings fall
- E*Trade (NASDAQ: ETFC) gets new chief

Comments No Comments »

Filed under: , ,

E*Trade (NASDAQ:ETFC) did something odd. It made a former vice chairman of JP Morgan (NYSE:JPM) its new CEO. It would be hard to envision that he has much experience in the discount brokerage industry. Donald Layton has been non-executive chairman of the company since Citadel Investment Group put $1.75 billion into the brokerage firm last November.

According to The Wall Street Journal “Citadel has nearly a 20% stake, and tapping Mr. Layton is a sign Citadel is getting antsy for results.” The brokerage firm still have $12 billion of home loans on its books. It is hard to assign them a value while real estate prices are still dropping and default rates are rising.

Citadel may want to sell the discount brokerage firm but that would cause potential problems with other E*Trade investors. What would be left over is a company with a huge pool of mortgages which are still falling in value. Getting a return on the discount brokerage operation might be a good idea on paper but separating it from the balance of the company is no “slam dunk”. Shareholders don’t want to be left holding that mortgage bag.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Comments No Comments »

Close
E-mail It