Filed under: Deals, Delta Air Lines (DAL)
Delta Air Lines and Northwest Airlines might reach a merger agreement within weeks after sharing details of the plan with pilot unions, people close to the talks stated, Bloomberg News reported Monday.
An announcement of the merger might come within weeks, Bloomberg News reported.
The merger would create the world’s biggest airline in terms of traffic, Delta served about 74 million passengers in 2007; Northwest, about 56 million. The combined entity would vault past no. 1 carrier American Airlines (NYSE: AMR), which served 129.5 million passengers.
Delta’s (NYSE: DAL) shares were down 23 cents to $19.95, while Northwest (NYSE: NWS) declined 23 cents to $20.62 in Monday afternoon trading.
Analyst C. Leonard Bauer told BloggingStocks Monday a Delta / Northwest represents a good operational fit, for several reasons.
First, pilot cultures in Delta and Northwest “appear to be in-sync” on the combined entity’s new seniority, work schedule and flight assignment rules, he said. Work schedule adjustments will have to occur, he said, but if each pilot camp undertakes the same adjustment per pay grade, each camp will view the other side as making a proportionate sacrifice. “It’s the No. 1 issue for pilots because seniority is critical. It determines what they fly and when,” Bauer stated.
Second, Bauer said if the pilots from Delta and Northwest can concur on a long-term pay and productivity-based compensation package, that will “set the tone for similar agreements with remaining employees, the mechanics, flight attendants, baggage workers, and customer service personnel.”
“The airline sector has experienced enormous changes in the last 20 years in flight availability, in pricing, and of course in security, but one thing hasn’t changed. The pilots set the tone,” Bauer said. “Work agreements with pilots are the basis for other work agreements in the company.” Bauer added that he does not have a rating on any airline nor own any airline’s shares.
Too many carriers
Many sector analysts believe the U.S. market has too many carriers, and could benefit from 2 or even 3 mergers / takeovers. American Airlines is the largest carrier by traffic, followed by United Air Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA), Delta, Continental (NYSE: CAL) and Northwest.
Mergers, analysts say, would enhance the sector’s economies of scale, reduce redundancies and waste, and ultimately lead to stronger carriers.
A combined Delta (460 planes) and Northwest (515 planes) would have 975 planes, the largest fleet in the world, ahead of American, with 655 planes; United, 578 planes; Germany’s Lufthansa, 526 planes; and Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV), 521 planes, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported.
Delta / Northwest flexibility
Bauer said he likes the operational flexibility that a combined Delta / Northwest would have with nearly 1,000 jets.
“They may not deploy that many planes, but the combined company would have several economy of scale advantages from ticketing to meals, and they’ll be able to respond much quicker with substitute planes when planes are suddenly taken out of service for an unscheduled repair,” Bauer stated.
Further, oil’s high price is adding to airlines’ cost structure, “so it makes sense to add revenue per mile by sustainable means, and mergers are one,” Bauer said.
In addition, Bauer said competition from European airlines is likely to increase after March 2008, when a new treaty takes effect giving European carriers greater leeway to operate flights to the U.S.
Any potential airline merger would be subject to federal anti-trust and national security reviews, he added.
Entries (RSS)